Journal articles

• “The US, Israel, and the conflict over Iran, 2009-2019.” Routledge Handbook of Diplomacy and Statecraft (2022).

• “United States Iran Policy and the Role of Israel, 1990-1993,” Diplomacy & Statecraft, 30:4 (2019), 729-754.

• “Access and omissions,” The Nonproliferation Review, 24:3-4 (2017), 385-389.

• “Revisiting the ‘Problem From Hell’: Suicide Terror in Afghanistan,” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 36:10 (2013), 819-838.

• Peer Reviewer: International Security, Nonproliferation Review, War on the Rocks, Rand Corporation.

 

Op-ed/analysis pieces

• “The Iran Deal’s October Sunsets: Sanctions Without Snapback.” With Louis Dugit-Gros. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. July 28, 2023.

• “Biden’s Iran Gamble.” With Eric Brewer. Foreign Affairs. June 9, 2023.

• “Israel May Lose Oil Access in Baghdad-Kurdish Deal.” With Simon Henderson and Bilal Wahab. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. April 13, 2023.

• “Inside Iran’s Regime: IRGC Economic Frustrations.” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. March 30, 2023.

• “‘No deal, no crisis’ is no plan for Iran.” With Louis Dugit-Gros. The Hill. March 29, 2023.

• “What Beijing’s Iran-Saudi Deal Means—and What It Doesn’t.” With Grant Rumley. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. March 15, 2023.

• “Iran’s Currency Collapse May Not Lead to Diplomatic Desperation.” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. March 7, 2023.

• “Raisi Visits China: More Symbolism Than Substance.” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. February 16, 2023.

• “After Ukraine: Russia’s Potential Military and Nuclear Compensation to Iran.” With Louis Dugit-Gros, Anna Borshchevskaya, Michael Eisenstadt, and Farzin Nadimi. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. January 20, 2023.

• “Iran’s New Budget Perpetuates Economic Challenges.” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. January 12, 2023.

• “Making Iran’s Support for Russia More Costly.” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. January 5, 2023.

• “Iran in 2022: Volatile Economy.” US Institute of Peace, December 22, 2022.

• “Human Rights Sanctions on Iran Need More Coordination and Creativity.” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. December 9, 2022.

• “New EU Sanctions Indicate More Willingness to Hold Tehran Accountable.” With Louis Dugit-Gros. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, November 15, 2022.

• “Iran’s Oil Exports Are Vulnerable to Sanctions.” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, November 9 2022.

• “Snapback Sanctions on Iran: More Bark Than Bite?” With Louis Dugit-Gros. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, October 25, 2022.

• "The Latest Chapter in Iran’s Hostage Diplomacy." The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, October 6, 2022.

• "Iran & Russia: Growing Economic Competition.” US Institute of Peace, July 18, 2022.

• “The Limits of a New Iran Nuclear Deal.” Foreign Affairs, March 8, 2022.

• “The status of negotiations over Iran’s nuclear programme.” International Institute for Strategic Studies, January 25, 2022.

• “Iran's Revolution at 43: The Economy.” US Institute of Peace, February 9, 2022.

• “Iran in 2021: The Economy.” US Institute of Peace, December 15, 2021.

• “Getting to ‘No’ With Iran.” With Eric Brewer. War on the Rocks, December 1, 2021.

• “Raisi’s Challenges: Protests, Sanctions & COVID-19.” US Institute of Peace, August 3, 2021.

• “Does Iran actually want to rejoin the nuclear deal?” With Eric Brewer. War on the Rocks, June 29, 2021.

• "Iran elected a hard-liner president. What does that mean for the nuclear deal?" The Washington Post, June 21, 2021.

• “Reviving the Iran nuclear deal requires tackling these three issues.” With Eric Brewer. The Washington Post, March 18, 2021.

• “Why Iran Keeps Quoting George H.W. Bush.” Foreign Policy, March 12, 2021.

• “Iran Struggles Under Oil Sanctions.” US Institute of Peace, The Iran Primer, February 10, 2021.

• “Iran Is Escalating Its Nuclear Program. Biden Should Not Rush To Respond.” NPR, January 8, 2021.

• “Iran’s Economy in 2020.” US Institute of Peace, The Iran Primer, December 16, 2020.

• “Iran, Biden and the Bomb: Why Tehran Is Now Speeding Up Its Nuclear Program.” With Ariane Tabatabai. Ha’aretz, December 6, 2020.

• “Reviving the Iran nuclear deal will be harder than it looks.” The Washington Post, November 23, 2020.

• “For Iran, Negotiations Aren’t Optional." With Ariane Tabatabai. Foreign Policy, September 15, 2020.

• “The COVID-19 Pandemic and Trump's Maximum Pressure Campaign May Bring Iran Back to the Table After All.” Foreign Policy, August 13, 2020.

• “Israel’s Annexation of the West Bank Would be a Gift to Iran.” With Ariane Tabatabai. Foreign Policy, June 26, 2020.

• “Iran’s Defense Spending.” US Institute of Peace, The Iran Primer, June 17, 2020.

• “Did America learn the wrong lessons from its clash with Iran?” With Eric Brewer. War on the Rocks, March 23, 2020.

• “The Secret History of How a Downed Airplane Rekindled U.S.-Iranian Ties.” Foreign Policy, January 15, 2020.

• “Iran's Crisis Budget.” US Institute of Peace, The Iran Primer, December 16, 2019.

• “Protests might be the harbinger of a greater crisis for Iran.” With Afshon Ostovar. War on the Rocks, December 2, 2019.

• “Iran Is Doing Just Fine.” Foreign Affairs, November 5, 2019.

• “As oil market recovers, Iran’s disruptions could continue.” With Robert Johnston. Axios, September 20, 2019.

• “The logic of Iran’s attack on Saudi Arabia.” With Robert Johnston. The New Atlanticist, September 19, 2019.

• “Does Iran Pose the Ultimate Threat? Foreign Affairs Asks the Experts” Foreign Affairs, August 13, 2019.

• “As Iran seeks negotiating leverage, risks of miscalculation multiply.” Axios, July 9, 2019.

• “Iran-US negotiations have already started — just not face to face.” The Hill, June 12, 2019.

• “U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil leave slim margin for future shocks.” With Robert Johnston. Axios, April 27, 2019.

• “Trump’s Iran strategy collides with oil market realities.” With Robert Johnston. Axios, April 18, 2019.

• “Why Iran Waits.” Foreign Affairs, January 10, 2019.

 

Think Tank Reports

• “Arming the Revolution: Trends in Iranian Defense Spending, 2013–23,” The Washington Institute for Near East Policy (June 2023).

• “Deterring Terror: How Israel Confronts the Next Generation of Threats.” Lead researcher. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, August 2016.

• “Sanctions Against Iran: A Guide to Targets, Terms, and Timetables.” Author. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, April 2015.

• “The Iran Nuclear Deal: A Definitive Guide.” Lead researcher. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, August 2015.

• “Decoding the Iran Nuclear Deal.” Leader researcher. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, April 2015.

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Farsi-to-English Translation

• “Translation of Iranian legislation approving nuclear deal.” Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, November 10, 2015.

 

Panels

• CNAS, “Distilling the Drivers and Disincentives for Iran’s Nuclear Program.” April 6, 2023.

• Carnegie Endowment, “What Are America’s Strategic Options on Iran?” November 3, 2022.

• US Central Command/NDU, “Iran’s Economy and Military Spending,” June 22, 2021.

• CSIS, “Is ‘Freeze for Freeze’ a Viable Pathway to Re-engage Iran?” February 26, 2021.

• Evangelische Akademie Loccum, "Engulfed in the Gulf?" November 26, 2020.

• US Central Command/NDU, "Iran’s Politics, Economics and Societal Pressures," July 28, 2020. 

• The Wilson Center, “COVID-19, the Oil Crisis and New Tensions with the U.S.” May 20, 2020.